Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 58.2%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Seguin 57.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 76.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 55.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Toews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Toews
Seguin
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Seguin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Toews
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
59.6% (736)
-3.7%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
61.5% (65)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
47.6% (124)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Toews
Seguin
Home
56.6% (709)
60.1% (461)
Away
58.0% (785)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Toews
Seguin
P1
60.4%
59.1%
P2
57.6%
58.9%
P3
54.3%
57.3%
OT
59.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | OT | 03:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2019 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |