Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 57 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 110-80 in 190 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 87.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Toews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
110
-
80
(190 meetings)
110
80
Toews
Seguin
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
39
18
Toews
Seguin
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
34
35
Toews
Seguin
69 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
37
27
Toews
Seguin
64 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
53.7% (8,071)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
55.9% (810)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
49.3% (762)
+4.3%
On power play, Toews has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Toews
Seguin
Home
59.7% (9,192)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Toews
Seguin
P1
58.6%
52.8%
P2
57.8%
53.3%
P3
57.3%
54.7%
OT
58.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |