Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 83.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Toews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
55.0% (713)
+6.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
56.7% (104)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
47.2% (53)
+12.4%
On power play, Toews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Toews
Seguin
Home
64.8% (560)
56.2% (443)
Away
60.6% (381)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Toews
Seguin
P1
62.3%
54.2%
P2
63.9%
52.9%
P3
62.8%
57.1%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |