Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Staal 54.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Tkachuk
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tkachuk
Staal
Last 6: Tkachuk 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Tkachuk
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
54.2% (943)
-7.3%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
69.6% (79)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
50.8% (262)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Tkachuk shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Staal
Home
47.6% (168)
55.0% (593)
Away
44.4% (144)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Tkachuk
Staal
P1
49.1%
54.3%
P2
42.9%
53.5%
P3
46.5%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |