Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Bedard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bedard
Staal
Last 5: Bedard 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Bedard
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
58.9% (1,096)
-20.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
68.4% (57)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.8% (222)
-26.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Bedard
Staal
Home
40.2% (246)
57.0% (646)
Away
37.8% (286)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Bedard
Staal
P1
39.9%
55.9%
P2
38.5%
55.4%
P3
39.0%
62.0%
OT
25.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |