Connor McMichael vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 73.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 81.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 86.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
McMichael
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
22
(38 meetings)
16
22
McMichael
Staal
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
10
McMichael
Staal
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
5
McMichael
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
7
McMichael
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
55.9% (14,620)
-12.8%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
62.7% (1,745)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.7%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
McMichael
Staal
Home
42.6% (976)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
43.3% (904)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
McMichael
Staal
P1
43.3%
55.2%
P2
43.2%
55.9%
P3
41.9%
54.9%
OT
75.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |