Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Staal 54.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ryan
Staal
Last 5: Ryan 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Ryan
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Ryan
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
54.2% (943)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
69.6% (79)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
50.8% (262)
-4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
52.5% (341)
55.0% (593)
Away
52.2% (391)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
56.0%
54.3%
P2
48.1%
53.5%
P3
52.8%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |