Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Staal 54.2% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 92.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 67.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 82.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Hughes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Hughes
Staal
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Hughes
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Hughes
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
57.0% (1,017)
-19.1%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
57.7% (26)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.1% (286)
-8.7%
On power play, Staal has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
36.6% (314)
54.3% (667)
Away
38.5% (353)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
36.4%
56.2%
P2
35.6%
57.0%
P3
41.8%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |