Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dickinson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 45.0% vs Staal 54.1% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.7%
12.3%
87.7%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Dickinson
Staal
Last 9: Dickinson 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
5
1
Dickinson
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (404)
54.2% (943)
-8.7%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
69.6% (79)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
50.8% (262)
-21.8%
On power play, Staal has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
50.2% (219)
55.0% (593)
Away
37.7% (228)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
45.0%
54.3%
P2
41.1%
53.5%
P3
45.0%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
58.6%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |