Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Norris 52.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Staal
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
13
(35 meetings)
22
13
Staal
Norris
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
2
Staal
Norris
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
6
Staal
Norris
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
5
Staal
Norris
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.5% (3,057)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.7% (404)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
45.4% (240)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Staal
Norris
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Staal
Norris
P1
55.2%
55.6%
P2
55.9%
51.4%
P3
54.9%
50.1%
OT
56.2%
40.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |