Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.8%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Norris 53.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 56.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Staal
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Staal
Norris
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
4
Staal
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Norris
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.6% (560)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
56.0% (109)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
53.1% (98)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Staal
Norris
Home
54.3% (667)
53.6% (373)
Away
54.7% (662)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Staal
Norris
P1
56.2%
61.8%
P2
57.0%
51.7%
P3
49.7%
49.8%
OT
68.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |