Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Norris 51.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 70.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Staal
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Staal
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
52.2% (542)
+6.7%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
54.4% (57)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
46.7% (30)
+5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Staal
Norris
Home
57.0% (646)
50.7% (351)
Away
59.1% (729)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Staal
Norris
P1
55.9%
55.6%
P2
55.4%
49.3%
P3
62.0%
52.1%
OT
70.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |