Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Norris 51.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 77.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Staal
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Staal
Norris
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
1
Staal
Norris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Staal
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Norris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
51.2% (886)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
59.0% (83)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
38.8% (67)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Staal
Norris
Home
59.0% (578)
55.6% (487)
Away
55.9% (707)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Staal
Norris
P1
57.1%
54.8%
P2
60.9%
51.3%
P3
55.8%
48.0%
OT
20.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |