Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Stenlund 48.1% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Staal
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Staal
Stenlund
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
5
Staal
Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
2
Staal
Stenlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Stenlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
47.1% (208)
+10.1%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
50.0% (10)
+21.3%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Stenlund is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Staal
Stenlund
Home
57.6% (566)
43.9% (114)
Away
58.4% (517)
51.0% (104)
By Period
Staal
Stenlund
P1
55.6%
47.1%
P2
58.5%
53.2%
P3
60.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |