Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Staal
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Staal
Stenlund
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Stenlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
54.4% (592)
+4.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
42.9% (14)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
44.1% (229)
+7.7%
On power play, Staal has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Staal
Stenlund
Home
57.0% (646)
50.7% (402)
Away
59.1% (729)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Staal
Stenlund
P1
55.9%
56.5%
P2
55.4%
52.4%
P3
62.0%
45.2%
OT
70.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |