Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Stenlund 52.7% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Staal 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Staal
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
58.2% (359)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
47.1% (17)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
42.0% (150)
+10.1%
On power play, Staal has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Staal
Stenlund
Home
58.3% (705)
53.6% (261)
Away
53.3% (769)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Staal
Stenlund
P1
54.5%
55.4%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%