Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Eller 53.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Staal
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
53.8% (865)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
57.1% (21)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
52.6% (137)
-0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
58.3% (705)
56.4% (486)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
54.5%
55.1%
P2
58.2%
55.3%
P3
54.1%
51.7%
OT
60.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |