Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Eller 52.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Eller
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
52.8% (742)
+6.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
67.6% (34)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
46.2% (156)
+5.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
57.0% (646)
54.5% (448)
Away
59.1% (729)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
55.9%
52.8%
P2
55.4%
50.9%
P3
62.0%
53.4%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |