Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Eller 51.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Eller
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.8% (650)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
69.2% (13)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
45.5% (88)
-0.4%
On power play, Eller has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Staal
Eller
Home
54.3% (667)
52.6% (340)
Away
54.7% (662)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Staal
Eller
P1
56.2%
52.4%
P2
57.0%
54.1%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
68.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |