Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+23.3%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Staal
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
34.4% (535)
+24.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
42.9% (21)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
40.0% (5)
+11.8%
On power play, Staal has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Staal
Carlsson
Home
57.0% (646)
38.6% (254)
Away
59.1% (729)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Staal
Carlsson
P1
55.9%
35.9%
P2
55.4%
33.8%
P3
62.0%
34.3%
OT
70.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%