Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+13.1%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Staal
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
41.8% (648)
+15.2%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
37.3% (51)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
38.7% (31)
+6.4%
On power play, Staal has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Staal
Carlsson
Home
54.3% (667)
44.5% (362)
Away
54.7% (662)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Staal
Carlsson
P1
56.2%
46.3%
P2
57.0%
35.1%
P3
49.7%
43.9%
OT
68.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%