Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Couture 48.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 67.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 69.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 68.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Couture
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Staal
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Staal
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
48.7% (986)
+10.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
58.5% (94)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
44.1% (195)
+5.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
59.0% (578)
47.2% (625)
Away
55.9% (707)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
57.1%
46.8%
P2
60.9%
49.8%
P3
55.8%
49.8%
OT
20.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |