Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Beniers 49.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 78.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 66.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 68.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Staal
Beniers
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
4
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
6
Staal
Beniers
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
48.9% (833)
+7.2%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
58.3% (36)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
50.0% (32)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
55.4% (663)
52.4% (460)
Away
54.4% (676)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
55.1%
48.4%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
47.8%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |