Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Beniers 47.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 68.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Staal
Beniers
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
5
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
48.3% (1,050)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
42.9% (105)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
43.6% (39)
+1.5%
On power play, Staal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
54.3% (667)
48.7% (630)
Away
54.7% (662)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
56.2%
49.2%
P2
57.0%
45.0%
P3
49.7%
49.3%
OT
68.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |