Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Beniers 46.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 32-28 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 69.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
32
(60 meetings)
28
32
Staal
Beniers
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
9
14
Staal
Beniers
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
8
12
Staal
Beniers
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
11
6
Staal
Beniers
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.6% (3,796)
+9.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
47.8% (360)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.4% (111)
+6.6%
On power play, Staal has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
55.2%
47.4%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
54.9%
45.7%
OT
56.2%
34.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |