Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Beniers 47.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Staal
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Staal
Beniers
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Beniers
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
4
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
47.3% (945)
+11.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
51.7% (145)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
23.8% (21)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Staal
Beniers
Home
57.0% (646)
49.6% (565)
Away
59.1% (729)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Staal
Beniers
P1
55.9%
48.0%
P2
55.4%
49.0%
P3
62.0%
46.5%
OT
70.4%
23.5%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |