Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 57.3%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs McLeod 56.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 76.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
McLeod
Last 9: Staal 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Staal
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
58.3% (859)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.0% (28)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
53.0% (168)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
59.0% (578)
55.3% (526)
Away
55.9% (707)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
57.1%
60.7%
P2
60.9%
55.9%
P3
55.8%
55.2%
OT
20.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |