Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs McLeod 59.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 68.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 84.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Staal
McLeod
Last 10: Staal 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
61.5% (792)
-5.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
65.2% (23)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
55.6% (153)
-3.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
58.3% (705)
62.0% (460)
Away
53.3% (769)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
54.5%
61.5%
P2
58.2%
63.6%
P3
54.1%
56.2%
OT
60.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |