Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 55.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Staal
McLeod
Last 10: Staal 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
1
Staal
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
59.2% (2,894)
-3.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
57.4% (101)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
53.5% (525)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
56.4% (9,663)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
55.2%
58.7%
P2
55.9%
59.9%
P3
54.9%
56.3%
OT
56.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |