Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Geekie 49.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Staal
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Geekie
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Staal
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.9% (505)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
0.0% (6)
+61.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
48.4% (93)
+3.7%
On power play, Staal has a +61.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Staal
Geekie
Home
58.3% (705)
50.0% (314)
Away
53.3% (769)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Staal
Geekie
P1
54.5%
51.3%
P2
58.2%
46.9%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |