Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Geekie 47.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 53.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Staal
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Staal
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
45.7% (352)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
63.2% (19)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
33.3% (3)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Staal
Geekie
Home
54.3% (667)
48.5% (165)
Away
54.7% (662)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Staal
Geekie
P1
56.2%
48.5%
P2
57.0%
45.1%
P3
49.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |