Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Foligno 46.4% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 85.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Staal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Foligno
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Staal
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
46.3% (566)
+9.6%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
43.4% (106)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
46.4% (69)
+4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
57.2% (684)
48.9% (364)
Away
56.0% (654)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
53.0%
48.7%
P2
58.2%
46.9%
P3
58.9%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |