Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Foligno 48.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Staal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
48.7% (495)
+8.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
56.9% (65)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
43.8% (144)
+1.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
54.3% (667)
49.6% (359)
Away
54.7% (662)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
56.2%
46.7%
P2
57.0%
52.7%
P3
49.7%
46.7%
OT
68.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |