Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.6%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Foligno 52.3% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 63.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
52.0% (50)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
66.7% (21)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
0.0% (1)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
58.3% (705)
51.2% (41)
Away
53.3% (769)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
58.2%
48.0%
P3
54.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%