Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.4%). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Foligno 51.8% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Staal
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
58.1% (31)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.0% (2)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
50.0% (6)
-0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
59.0% (578)
56.3% (16)
Away
55.9% (707)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
60.9%
66.7%
P3
55.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%