Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 79.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Staal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Foligno
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Staal
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Staal
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
47.0% (202)
+7.2%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
57.9% (95)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
40.9% (22)
+9.9%
On power play, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
55.0% (593)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.0% (691)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
54.3%
48.9%
P2
53.5%
47.8%
P3
55.2%
53.8%
OT
58.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |