Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Foligno 46.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Staal
Foligno
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
5
Staal
Foligno
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Staal
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
44.0% (159)
+13.2%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
54.9% (51)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
37.3% (51)
+8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Staal
Foligno
Home
57.6% (566)
43.0% (142)
Away
58.4% (517)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Staal
Foligno
P1
55.6%
47.8%
P2
58.5%
42.6%
P3
60.6%
46.2%
OT
43.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |