Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Zacha 46.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 86.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 75.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Staal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Zacha
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Staal
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Staal
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
45.3% (247)
+11.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
58.1% (31)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
22.2% (18)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Staal
Zacha
Home
58.3% (705)
39.7% (131)
Away
53.3% (769)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Staal
Zacha
P1
54.5%
42.9%
P2
58.2%
46.4%
P3
54.1%
42.3%
OT
60.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 04:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |