Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Faksa 53.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 54.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Staal
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
55.7% (280)
+1.5%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
0.0% (2)
+67.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
50.0% (116)
-6.1%
On power play, Staal has a +67.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Faksa is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Staal
Faksa
Home
55.4% (518)
54.6% (163)
Away
55.7% (497)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Staal
Faksa
P1
53.6%
60.5%
P2
56.6%
52.4%
P3
55.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |