Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.0%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Faksa 55.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 51.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 55.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Staal
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Staal
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
56.7% (413)
-0.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
56.3% (16)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
53.7% (123)
-1.6%
On power play, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Staal
Faksa
Home
58.3% (705)
56.3% (261)
Away
53.3% (769)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Staal
Faksa
P1
54.5%
58.6%
P2
58.2%
55.0%
P3
54.1%
55.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |