Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Faksa 52.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 29-29 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 68.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 53.7%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Staal
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
29
(58 meetings)
29
29
Staal
Faksa
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
16
8
Staal
Faksa
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
6
13
Staal
Faksa
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
7
8
Staal
Faksa
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.8% (6,681)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
57.7% (291)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
49.3% (1,372)
-1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Staal
Faksa
Home
56.4% (9,663)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Staal
Faksa
P1
55.2%
53.0%
P2
55.9%
52.5%
P3
54.9%
52.0%
OT
56.2%
45.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |