Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Faksa 53.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 64.1%
Neutral zone
Faksa 56.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Staal
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
56.4% (289)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
0.0% (2)
+66.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
49.2% (126)
-6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Staal
Faksa
Home
55.4% (663)
54.9% (182)
Away
54.4% (676)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Staal
Faksa
P1
55.1%
61.1%
P2
54.7%
51.3%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |