Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Hintz 49.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
15
(40 meetings)
25
15
Staal
Hintz
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
8
Staal
Hintz
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
1
Staal
Hintz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
11
6
Staal
Hintz
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
47.8% (383)
+9.4%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
55.8% (43)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (132)
55.8% (43)
-10.3%
On power play, Staal has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
57.6% (566)
51.6% (248)
Away
58.4% (517)
46.6% (221)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
55.6%
49.3%
P2
58.5%
53.2%
P3
60.6%
44.9%
OT
43.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |