Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hintz 53.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 47-44 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 68.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
44
(91 meetings)
47
44
Staal
Hintz
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
9
19
Staal
Hintz
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
24
7
Staal
Hintz
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
14
18
Staal
Hintz
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
53.8% (3,722)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
55.4% (567)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
52.9% (221)
-4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
56.4% (9,663)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
55.2%
55.5%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
52.7%
OT
56.2%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |