Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Hintz 52.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 77.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 62.3%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Hintz
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Staal
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Staal
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
52.9% (526)
+6.0%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
57.4% (108)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
42.5% (40)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
59.0% (578)
53.8% (329)
Away
55.9% (707)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
60.9%
53.0%
P3
55.8%
51.7%
OT
20.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | OT | 04:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |