Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Hintz 55.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 76.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Staal
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Staal
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Staal
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
56.3% (512)
+2.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
63.3% (30)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
45.8% (24)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
57.0% (646)
57.3% (262)
Away
59.1% (729)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
55.9%
54.8%
P2
55.4%
56.0%
P3
62.0%
57.5%
OT
70.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |