Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Donato 46.0% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 79.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 79.7%
20.3%
79.7%
Staal
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Staal
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
44.4% (180)
+14.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
43.2% (37)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
40.0% (5)
+11.8%
On power play, Staal has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Staal
Donato
Home
57.0% (646)
45.4% (97)
Away
59.1% (729)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Staal
Donato
P1
55.9%
36.2%
P2
55.4%
48.6%
P3
62.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |