Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Donato 44.9% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 85.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 69.7%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Staal
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Staal
Donato
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Staal
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
44.2% (1,179)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
46.3% (246)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
36.4% (11)
+11.6%
On power play, Staal has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Staal
Donato
Home
56.4% (9,663)
47.2% (743)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Staal
Donato
P1
55.2%
43.4%
P2
55.9%
45.1%
P3
54.9%
44.4%
OT
56.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |