Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 66 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 111-89 in 200 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
111
-
89
(200 meetings)
111
89
Staal
Johansen
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
30
40
Staal
Johansen
70 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
44
22
Staal
Johansen
66 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
37
27
Staal
Johansen
64 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
53.1% (11,017)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
56.2% (2,163)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
50.5% (978)
-2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
55.2%
53.2%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
52.8%
OT
56.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |