Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Staal
Johansen
Last 9: Staal 4-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Staal
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
49.4% (1,010)
+9.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
62.3% (236)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
67.2% (67)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
59.0% (578)
54.7% (655)
Away
55.9% (707)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
57.1%
52.2%
P2
60.9%
50.7%
P3
55.8%
54.8%
OT
20.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |